PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ponte Preta 0–1 Avaí · Serie B

0–1Historical match

Avaí

DWDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 0–1.

Shots
2014
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.732.03
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí beat Ponte Preta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Avaí): shots 20–14, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.73–2.03, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

weak

Avaí's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots14 shotsPonte Preta 20 shots, Avaí 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsPonte Preta 7 shots, Avaí 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG2.03 xGPonte Preta 1.73 xG, Avaí 2.03 xG
  • Possession55%45%Ponte Preta 55%, Avaí 45%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersPonte Preta 3 corners, Avaí 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsPonte Preta 12 fouls, Avaí 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ponte Preta
0Draws
0Avaí
Avaí — Ponte Preta · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta35 matchesAvaí35 matches
0.57 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 0.86 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.23 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.06 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots34/3411.6 shots/match
3.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.29 shots/match
46.4%Possession34/34● 49.9%
3.71 corners/matchCorners34/34● 4.88 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls34/3415.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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