PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Tombense 0–1 Ponte Preta · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 0–1.

Shots
812
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
0.141.14
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Tombense 1–0. Recorded in this match (Tombense – Ponte Preta): shots 8–12, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 0.14–1.14, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.58 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsTombense 8 shots, Ponte Preta 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsTombense 1 shot, Ponte Preta 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.14 xG1.14 xGTombense 0.14 xG, Ponte Preta 1.14 xG
  • Possession51%49%Tombense 51%, Ponte Preta 49%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersTombense 7 corners, Ponte Preta 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsTombense 11 fouls, Ponte Preta 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Tombense
0Draws
0Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Tombense · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Tombense favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Tombense36 matchesPonte Preta36 matches
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/360.58 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed36/36▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.01 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.3 shots/match
4.03 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.51 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession35/3546.5%
5.46 corners/match ●Corners35/353.69 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls35/3516 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTombensePonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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