PitchMath
Serie B · 2023

Ceará 1–3 Juventude · Serie B

Ceará

LWDWL
1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 1–3.

Shots
1211
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.631.71
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Ceará 3–1. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Juventude): shots 12–11, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.63–1.71, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ceará have a visible home split

moderate

Ceará's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots11 shotsCeará 12 shots, Juventude 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsCeará 3 shots, Juventude 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG1.71 xGCeará 1.63 xG, Juventude 1.71 xG
  • Possession57%43%Ceará 57%, Juventude 43%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerCeará 5 corners, Juventude 1 corner
  • Fouls19 fouls8 foulsCeará 19 fouls, Juventude 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ceará
0Draws
2Juventude
Juventude — Ceará · Serie B1–0
Ceará — Juventude · Serie A4–1
Juventude — Ceará · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará38 matchesJuventude38 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored38/381.11 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals38/371.23 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots38/3713.2 shots/match
4.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target38/373.89 shots/match
52.8% ●Possession38/3751.8%
5.39 corners/match ●Corners38/374.59 corners/match
16.7 fouls/matchFouls38/3715.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáJuventude
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2023
Head-to-headCeará — Juventude
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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