PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Sport Recife 1–0 Paysandu · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 1–0.

Shots
145
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.070.33
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Paysandu SC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Paysandu SC): shots 14–5, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.07–0.33, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsSport Recife 14 shots, Paysandu 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotSport Recife 2 shots, Paysandu 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.33 xGSport Recife 1.07 xG, Paysandu 0.33 xG
  • Possession53%47%Sport Recife 53%, Paysandu 47%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersSport Recife 8 corners, Paysandu 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsSport Recife 12 fouls, Paysandu 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Paysandu in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife8 matchesPaysandu9 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/90.67 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/90.84 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots8/910.7 shots/match
3.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/93.22 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession8/951.9%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners8/95.33 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/916.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 11 Jun 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSport RecifePaysandu
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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