Serie B · 2024

Santos 2–0 Ituano · Serie B

Santos

LWDWW
2–0Historical match

Ituano

LDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 2–0.

Shots
257
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
4.350.35
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Ituano 2–0. Recorded in this match (Santos – Ituano): shots 25–7, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 4.35–0.35, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ituano's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Santos's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsSantos · Ituano10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSantosItuanoBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match18.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.4 shots/match15.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots7 shotsSantos 25 shots, Ituano 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsSantos 8 shots, Ituano 2 shots
  • Expected goals4.35 xG0.35 xGSantos 4.35 xG, Ituano 0.35 xG
  • Possession67%33%Santos 67%, Ituano 33%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersSantos 12 corners, Ituano 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsSantos 14 fouls, Ituano 16 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos15 matchesItuano15 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.27 goals/match
0.73 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/152.27 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.23 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots15/1510.3 shots/match
5.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/153.47 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession15/1543.6%
6.27 corners/match ●Corners15/153.53 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Jul 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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