Serie B · 2024

CRB 1–0 Ituano · Serie B

CRB

WDLWW
1–0Historical match

Ituano

DDLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–0.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
2.160.59
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Ituano 1–0. Recorded in this match (CRB – Ituano): shots 16–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 2.16–0.59, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for CRB.

2.85 days ▲Rest daysCRB · Ituano4.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCRBItuanoBaseline
Rest days2.85 days4.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCRB · Ituano10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCRBItuanoBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12.7 shots/match18.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

weak

Ituano's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsCRB 16 shots, Ituano 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCRB 3 shots, Ituano 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.16 xG0.59 xGCRB 2.16 xG, Ituano 0.59 xG
  • Possession73%27%CRB 73%, Ituano 27%
  • Corners11 corners9 cornersCRB 11 corners, Ituano 9 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsCRB 10 fouls, Ituano 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CRB
2Draws
0Ituano
Ituano — CRB · Serie B0–0
CRB — Ituano · Serie B2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB15 matchesItuano16 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/161.19 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/162.19 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/161.19 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots15/1610.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/163.44 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession15/1642.6%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners15/163.88 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls15/1611.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Jul 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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