PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

CRB 4–1 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

CRB

DWDLW
4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 4–1.

Shots
149
Shots on target
51
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Botafogo-SP 4–1. Recorded in this match (CRB – Botafogo-SP): shots 14–9, shots on target 5–1, possession 51%–49%, corners 3–4. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB have a visible home split

moderate

CRB's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsCRB 14 shots, Botafogo-SP 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotCRB 5 shots, Botafogo-SP 1 shot
  • Possession51%49%CRB 51%, Botafogo-SP 49%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersCRB 3 corners, Botafogo-SP 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls9 foulsCRB 18 fouls, Botafogo-SP 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0CRB
1Draws
1Botafogo-SP
CRB — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–0
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB14 matchesBotafogo-SP15 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/150.8 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed14/151.27 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/141.01 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots14/1512.4 shots/match
4.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/154.07 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession14/1547.5%
3.86 corners/matchCorners14/15● 5.67 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1514.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 18 Jul 2024, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headCRB — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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