PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Paysandu 1–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paysandu won 1–0.

Shots
276
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.770.14
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paysandu SC beat Ponte Preta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Paysandu SC – Ponte Preta): shots 27–6, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.77–0.14, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots6 shotsPaysandu 27 shots, Ponte Preta 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsPaysandu 5 shots, Ponte Preta 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG0.14 xGPaysandu 1.77 xG, Ponte Preta 0.14 xG
  • Possession69%31%Paysandu 69%, Ponte Preta 31%
  • Corners13 corners0 cornersPaysandu 13 corners, Ponte Preta 0 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls17 foulsPaysandu 19 fouls, Ponte Preta 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paysandu favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paysandu16 matchesPonte Preta16 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.19 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.25 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.23 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots16/1612.1 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 4.44 shots/match
54% ●Possession16/1646.8%
5.94 corners/match ●Corners16/164.38 corners/match
16.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Jul 2024, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPaysanduPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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