PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Vila Nova FC 2–1 Avaí · Serie B

2–1Historical match

Avaí

WDDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 2–1.

Shots
1215
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.620.75
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Avaí 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Avaí): shots 12–15, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.62–0.75, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots15 shotsVila Nova FC 12 shots, Avaí 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsVila Nova FC 4 shots, Avaí 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG0.75 xGVila Nova FC 0.62 xG, Avaí 0.75 xG
  • Possession56%44%Vila Nova FC 56%, Avaí 44%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersVila Nova FC 5 corners, Avaí 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsVila Nova FC 15 fouls, Avaí 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Vila Nova FC
1Draws
0Avaí
Vila Nova FC — Avaí · Serie B1–1
Avaí — Vila Nova FC · Serie B0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC15 matchesAvaí15 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.93 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.23 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target15/153.87 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession15/1549.4%
4.2 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.2 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Jul 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headVila Nova FC — Avaí
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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