PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Avaí 0–1 Ceará · Serie B

Avaí

DDDLL
0–1Historical match

Ceará

DLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 0–1.

Shots
910
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.20.55
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Avaí 1–0. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Ceará): shots 9–10, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.2–0.55, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsAvaí 9 shots, Ceará 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsAvaí 2 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.2 xG0.55 xGAvaí 0.2 xG, Ceará 0.55 xG
  • Possession68%32%Avaí 68%, Ceará 32%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAvaí 4 corners, Ceará 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls16 foulsAvaí 14 fouls, Ceará 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Avaí
1Draws
1Ceará
Avaí — Ceará · Serie B1–0
Ceará — Avaí · Serie B0–0
Avaí — Ceará · Serie A2–0
Ceará — Avaí · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí16 matchesCeará16 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.38 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.25 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.52 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 4.63 shots/match
50.6% ●Possession16/1648.9%
5.13 corners/matchCorners16/16● 7.44 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1615.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Jul 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíCeará
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headAvaí — Ceará
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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