PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Coritiba 0–1 Mirassol · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 0–1.

Shots
199
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.470.37
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Coritiba 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Mirassol): shots 19–9, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.47–0.37, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsCoritiba 19 shots, Mirassol 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCoritiba 4 shots, Mirassol 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.37 xGCoritiba 1.47 xG, Mirassol 0.37 xG
  • Possession62%38%Coritiba 62%, Mirassol 38%
  • Corners9 corners5 cornersCoritiba 9 corners, Mirassol 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsCoritiba 13 fouls, Mirassol 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba16 matchesMirassol16 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.06 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/160.88 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.33 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.9 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.69 shots/match
49%Possession16/16● 49.8%
6.06 corners/match ●Corners16/164.88 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Jul 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaMirassol
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required