PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ponte Preta 1–0 Avaí · Serie B

1–0Historical match

Avaí

LLLDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 1–0.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.410.78
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Avaí 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Avaí): shots 19–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.41–0.78, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsPonte Preta 19 shots, Avaí 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsPonte Preta 6 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG0.78 xGPonte Preta 1.41 xG, Avaí 0.78 xG
  • Possession48%52%Ponte Preta 48%, Avaí 52%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersPonte Preta 8 corners, Avaí 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsPonte Preta 10 fouls, Avaí 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ponte Preta
0Draws
1Avaí
Ponte Preta — Avaí · Serie B0–1
Avaí — Ponte Preta · Serie B0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta19 matchesAvaí19 matches
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.79 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 0.79 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals19/191.18 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots19/1912.7 shots/match
4.53 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/193.58 shots/match
46.5%Possession19/19● 50.1%
4.47 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.11 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headPonte Preta — Avaí
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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