PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Coritiba 1–1 Ponte Preta · Serie B

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba and Ponte Preta drew 1–1.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.381.61
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba and Ponte Preta drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Ponte Preta): shots 12–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.38–1.61, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.85 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.85 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsCoritiba 12 shots, Ponte Preta 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsCoritiba 3 shots, Ponte Preta 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.38 xG1.61 xGCoritiba 1.38 xG, Ponte Preta 1.61 xG
  • Possession41%59%Coritiba 41%, Ponte Preta 59%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersCoritiba 3 corners, Ponte Preta 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls22 foulsCoritiba 19 fouls, Ponte Preta 22 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
1Draws
0Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Coritiba · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba20 matchesPonte Preta20 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.2 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.2 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals20/201.23 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots20/2012.6 shots/match
4.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/204.6 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession20/2047.1%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners20/204.35 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls20/2014.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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