PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Avaí 1–1 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

Avaí

DLLLD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí and Botafogo-SP drew 1–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
2.150.58
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí and Botafogo-SP drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Botafogo-SP): shots 13–11, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 2.15–0.58, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo-SP.

7.04 days ▲Rest daysAvaí · Botafogo-SP4.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAvaíBotafogo-SPBaseline
Rest days7.04 days4.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsAvaí 13 shots, Botafogo-SP 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAvaí 4 shots, Botafogo-SP 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.58 xGAvaí 2.15 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.58 xG
  • Possession57%43%Avaí 57%, Botafogo-SP 43%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersAvaí 5 corners, Botafogo-SP 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls14 foulsAvaí 15 fouls, Botafogo-SP 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Avaí
1Draws
0Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Avaí · Serie B0–1
Avaí — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí18 matchesBotafogo-SP18 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 0.89 goals/match
0.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.44 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/171.01 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots18/1812 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target18/183.78 shots/match
50% ●Possession18/1847.6%
5.28 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.33 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1814.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 31 Jul 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headAvaí — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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