Serie B · 2024

Operário-PR 1–2 Ituano · Serie B

1–2Historical match

Ituano

LDDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ituano won 1–2.

Shots
197
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.020.71
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ituano beat Operário-PR 2–1. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Ituano): shots 19–7, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.02–0.71, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ituano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Operário-PR show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Operário-PR's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsOperário-PR · Ituano9.76 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOperário-PRItuanoBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match9.76 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match18 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Ituano have a visible away split

moderate

Ituano's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.76 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match9.76 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots7 shotsOperário-PR 19 shots, Ituano 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsOperário-PR 4 shots, Ituano 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG0.71 xGOperário-PR 1.02 xG, Ituano 0.71 xG
  • Possession65%35%Operário-PR 65%, Ituano 35%
  • Corners9 corners0 cornersOperário-PR 9 corners, Ituano 0 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsOperário-PR 8 fouls, Ituano 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Operário-PR
0Draws
0Ituano
Ituano — Operário-PR · Serie B0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Ituano in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR20 matchesItuano21 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored20/21▲ 1.1 goals/match
0.65 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/211.81 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals20/21▲ 1.08 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots20/219.76 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/213.43 shots/match
55% ●Possession20/2141.5%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners20/214 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls20/2111.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 16 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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