Serie B · 2024

Operário-PR 2–3 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 2–3.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.930.9
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Operário-PR 3–2. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Vila Nova FC): shots 11–11, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.93–0.9, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.76 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vila Nova FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vila Nova FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsOperário-PR · Vila Nova FC11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOperário-PRVila Nova FCBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsOperário-PR 11 shots, Vila Nova FC 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsOperário-PR 5 shots, Vila Nova FC 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG0.9 xGOperário-PR 0.93 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.9 xG
  • Possession53%47%Operário-PR 53%, Vila Nova FC 47%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersOperário-PR 3 corners, Vila Nova FC 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls19 foulsOperário-PR 10 fouls, Vila Nova FC 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Operário-PR
0Draws
1Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Operário-PR · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR21 matchesVila Nova FC22 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored21/22▲ 1.23 goals/match
0.76 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/221.14 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals21/22▲ 1.12 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots21/2211.6 shots/match
4.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/223.77 shots/match
54.9% ●Possession21/2249.9%
5.57 corners/match ●Corners21/224.55 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2213.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Aug 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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