PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Vila Nova FC 2–0 Sport Recife · Serie B

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 2–0.

Shots
117
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.980.71
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Sport Recife 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Sport Recife): shots 11–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.98–0.71, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.1 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsVila Nova FC 11 shots, Sport Recife 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsVila Nova FC 5 shots, Sport Recife 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG0.71 xGVila Nova FC 1.98 xG, Sport Recife 0.71 xG
  • Possession38%62%Vila Nova FC 38%, Sport Recife 62%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersVila Nova FC 1 corner, Sport Recife 6 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls10 foulsVila Nova FC 22 fouls, Sport Recife 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vila Nova FC
0Draws
3Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Vila Nova FC · Serie B2–0
Vila Nova FC — Sport Recife · Serie B0–1
Sport Recife — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC21 matchesSport Recife19 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored21/19▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed21/191.05 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals21/19▲ 1.25 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots21/19▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target21/193.89 shots/match
50%Possession21/19● 56.4%
4.52 corners/matchCorners21/19● 6.11 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls21/1913.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Aug 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCSport Recife
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headVila Nova FC — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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