PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ceará 1–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

Ceará

LLWWL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ceará won 1–0.

Shots
158
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.510.59
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ceará beat Ponte Preta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Ponte Preta): shots 15–8, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.51–0.59, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.03 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsCeará 15 shots, Ponte Preta 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsCeará 7 shots, Ponte Preta 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG0.59 xGCeará 1.51 xG, Ponte Preta 0.59 xG
  • Possession43%57%Ceará 43%, Ponte Preta 57%
  • Corners9 corners8 cornersCeará 9 corners, Ponte Preta 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls17 foulsCeará 11 fouls, Ponte Preta 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ceará
2Draws
1Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Ceará · Serie B3–1
Ceará — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–1
Ponte Preta — Ceará · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará31 matchesPonte Preta31 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.03 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.32 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.21 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots31/3112.1 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/314.26 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession31/3147.5%
7 corners/match ●Corners31/314.32 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls31/3115.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headCeará — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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