PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ponte Preta 1–0 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 1–0.

Shots
99
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.060.71
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Botafogo-SP 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Botafogo-SP): shots 9–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.06–0.71, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match0.97 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsPonte Preta 9 shots, Botafogo-SP 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsPonte Preta 3 shots, Botafogo-SP 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG0.71 xGPonte Preta 1.06 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.71 xG
  • Possession36%64%Ponte Preta 36%, Botafogo-SP 64%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersPonte Preta 4 corners, Botafogo-SP 3 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls11 foulsPonte Preta 22 fouls, Botafogo-SP 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Ponte Preta
1Draws
1Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0
Botafogo-SP — Ponte Preta · Serie B0–0
Ponte Preta — Botafogo-SP · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta30 matchesBotafogo-SP29 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/290.86 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed30/291.28 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/281.04 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots30/2912 shots/match
4.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/293.59 shots/match
47.2%Possession30/29● 47.9%
4.2 corners/matchCorners30/29● 5.31 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls30/2914.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headPonte Preta — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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