PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Mirassol 1–0 Vila Nova FC · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 1–0.

Shots
143
Shots on target
11
Expected goals
1.270.06
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Vila Nova FC 1–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Vila Nova FC): shots 14–3, shots on target 1–1, expected goals 1.27–0.06, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.97 goals/match0.97 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots3 shotsMirassol 14 shots, Vila Nova FC 3 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot1 shotMirassol 1 shot, Vila Nova FC 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.27 xG0.06 xGMirassol 1.27 xG, Vila Nova FC 0.06 xG
  • Possession59%41%Mirassol 59%, Vila Nova FC 41%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersMirassol 3 corners, Vila Nova FC 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls22 foulsMirassol 16 fouls, Vila Nova FC 22 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Mirassol
1Draws
2Vila Nova FC
Vila Nova FC — Mirassol · Serie B1–0
Vila Nova FC — Mirassol · Serie B2–0
Mirassol — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol30 matchesVila Nova FC30 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.7 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/301.27 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/301.11 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots30/3011.5 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target30/303.73 shots/match
49.9%Possession30/30● 50.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.53 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls30/3013.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Oct 2024, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolVila Nova FC
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headMirassol — Vila Nova FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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