Serie B · 2024

Santos 3–2 Mirassol · Serie B

Santos

WWDWL
3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 3–2.

Shots
1918
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.851.96
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Mirassol 3–2. Recorded in this match (Santos – Mirassol): shots 19–18, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.85–1.96, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

weak

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Santos show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Santos's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSantos · Mirassol11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSantosMirassolBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots18 shotsSantos 19 shots, Mirassol 18 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsSantos 8 shots, Mirassol 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG1.96 xGSantos 1.85 xG, Mirassol 1.96 xG
  • Possession38%62%Santos 38%, Mirassol 62%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersSantos 5 corners, Mirassol 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsSantos 15 fouls, Mirassol 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Santos
1Draws
0Mirassol
Mirassol — Santos · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Mirassol in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos31 matchesMirassol31 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311 goal/match
0.81 goals/matchGoals allowed31/310.77 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.24 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots30/3111.1 shots/match
5.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/313.65 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession30/3150.3%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners30/314.45 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls30/3110.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Oct 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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