PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Mirassol 1–0 Novorizontino · Serie B

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 1–0.

Shots
615
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
0.511.19
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Novorizontino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Novorizontino): shots 6–15, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 0.51–1.19, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Novorizontino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsMirassol 6 shots, Novorizontino 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotMirassol 4 shots, Novorizontino 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.51 xG1.19 xGMirassol 0.51 xG, Novorizontino 1.19 xG
  • Possession50%50%Mirassol 50%, Novorizontino 50%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersMirassol 9 corners, Novorizontino 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls18 foulsMirassol 9 fouls, Novorizontino 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Mirassol
1Draws
2Novorizontino
Novorizontino — Mirassol · Serie B1–1
Novorizontino — Mirassol · Serie B2–1
Mirassol — Novorizontino · Serie B0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Novorizontino in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol32 matchesNovorizontino32 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/320.88 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/321.08 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.66 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 3.97 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession32/3243%
4.59 corners/matchCorners32/324.59 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls32/3217.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Oct 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolNovorizontino
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headMirassol — Novorizontino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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