Serie B · 2024

Novorizontino 2–0 Avaí · Serie B

2–0Historical match

Avaí

LDDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 2–0.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
0.961.82
Possession
34%66%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Avaí 2–0. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Avaí): shots 18–11, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 0.96–1.82, possession 34%–66%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Novorizontino, Avaí.

3.19 days ▲Rest daysNovorizontino · Avaí4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricNovorizontinoAvaíBaseline
Rest days3.19 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

weak

Novorizontino's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsNovorizontino 18 shots, Avaí 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsNovorizontino 9 shots, Avaí 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG1.82 xGNovorizontino 0.96 xG, Avaí 1.82 xG
  • Possession34%66%Novorizontino 34%, Avaí 66%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersNovorizontino 4 corners, Avaí 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsNovorizontino 9 fouls, Avaí 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Novorizontino
0Draws
1Avaí
Avaí — Novorizontino · Serie B0–1
Avaí — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Avaí · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino33 matchesAvaí33 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.79 goals/match
0.85 goals/matchGoals allowed33/330.85 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.15 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots33/3312 shots/match
4.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.21 shots/match
42.7%Possession33/33● 49.1%
4.58 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5 corners/match
17.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 23 Oct 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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