PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Vila Nova FC 0–3 Coritiba · Serie B

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 0–3.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.121.83
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Vila Nova FC 3–0. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Coritiba): shots 18–16, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.12–1.83, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Coritiba have a visible away split

moderate

Coritiba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsVila Nova FC 18 shots, Coritiba 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsVila Nova FC 5 shots, Coritiba 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.12 xG1.83 xGVila Nova FC 1.12 xG, Coritiba 1.83 xG
  • Possession60%40%Vila Nova FC 60%, Coritiba 40%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersVila Nova FC 8 corners, Coritiba 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsVila Nova FC 12 fouls, Coritiba 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vila Nova FC
1Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC32 matchesCoritiba32 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.09 goals/match
1.28 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.23 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.72 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.84 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession32/3249.2%
4.56 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.59 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls32/3214.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCCoritiba
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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