Serie B · 2024

Paysandu 2–1 Coritiba · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paysandu won 2–1.

Shots
226
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.860.31
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paysandu SC beat Coritiba 2–1. Recorded in this match (Paysandu SC – Coritiba): shots 22–6, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.86–0.31, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paysandu SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Paysandu SC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paysandu SC.

3.35 days ▲Rest daysPaysandu SC · Coritiba4.15 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPaysandu SCCoritibaBaseline
Rest days3.35 days4.15 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Coritiba have a visible away split

moderate

Coritiba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots6 shotsPaysandu 22 shots, Coritiba 6 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsPaysandu 7 shots, Coritiba 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG0.31 xGPaysandu 1.86 xG, Coritiba 0.31 xG
  • Possession48%52%Paysandu 48%, Coritiba 52%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersPaysandu 8 corners, Coritiba 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsPaysandu 9 fouls, Coritiba 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paysandu
1Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Paysandu · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paysandu favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paysandu33 matchesCoritiba33 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.2 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots33/3313.9 shots/match
4.21 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.76 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession33/3349.2%
6.58 corners/match ●Corners33/335.52 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3314.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 24 Oct 2024, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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