PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Ponte Preta 2–0 Brusque · Serie B

2–0Historical match

Brusque

WLDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 2–0.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
2.630.26
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat Brusque 2–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Brusque): shots 12–14, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 2.63–0.26, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brusque's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brusque's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ponte Preta.

3.02 days ▲Rest daysPonte Preta · Brusque5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPonte PretaBrusqueBaseline
Rest days3.02 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsPonte Preta 12 shots, Brusque 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsPonte Preta 2 shots, Brusque 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.63 xG0.26 xGPonte Preta 2.63 xG, Brusque 0.26 xG
  • Possession40%60%Ponte Preta 40%, Brusque 60%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersPonte Preta 8 corners, Brusque 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsPonte Preta 19 fouls, Brusque 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
1Draws
0Brusque
Brusque — Ponte Preta · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Brusque in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta33 matchesBrusque33 matches
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.67 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/330.97 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots33/3311.6 shots/match
4.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.33 shots/match
47.3% ●Possession33/3346.7%
4.42 corners/match ●Corners33/334.18 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 24 Oct 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPonte PretaBrusque
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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