PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Amazonas 2–1 Avaí · Serie B

2–1Historical match

Avaí

WLDDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Amazonas won 2–1.

Shots
204
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
3.210.28
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Amazonas FC beat Avaí 2–1. Recorded in this match (Amazonas FC – Avaí): shots 20–4, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 3.21–0.28, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.02 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Amazonas FC have a visible home split

moderate

Amazonas FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots4 shotsAmazonas 20 shots, Avaí 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAmazonas 6 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.21 xG0.28 xGAmazonas 3.21 xG, Avaí 0.28 xG
  • Possession63%37%Amazonas 63%, Avaí 37%
  • Corners12 corners1 cornerAmazonas 12 corners, Avaí 1 corner
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsAmazonas 9 fouls, Avaí 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Amazonas
1Draws
0Avaí
Avaí — Amazonas · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Amazonas favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Amazonas31 matchesAvaí32 matches
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/320.81 goals/match
0.97 goals/matchGoals allowed31/32▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/321.13 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots31/3212.1 shots/match
3.87 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/323.19 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession31/3248.6%
6 corners/match ●Corners31/325 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls31/3213.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmazonasAvaí
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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