Serie B · 2024

Ponte Preta 0–1 Guarani · Serie B

0–1Historical match

Guarani

LDLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Guarani won 0–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
05
Expected goals
0.450.88
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Guarani beat Ponte Preta 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – Guarani): shots 10–15, shots on target 0–5, expected goals 0.45–0.88, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Guarani have a visible away split

moderate

Guarani's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsPonte Preta 10 shots, Guarani 15 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots5 shotsPonte Preta 0 shots, Guarani 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.45 xG0.88 xGPonte Preta 0.45 xG, Guarani 0.88 xG
  • Possession46%54%Ponte Preta 46%, Guarani 54%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersPonte Preta 4 corners, Guarani 6 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls10 foulsPonte Preta 22 fouls, Guarani 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ponte Preta
2Draws
1Guarani
Guarani — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–1
Guarani — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0
Ponte Preta — Guarani · Serie B1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 5 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta32 matchesGuarani32 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored32/321 goal/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.38 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals32/321.17 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target32/324.19 shots/match
47.5%Possession32/32● 48.9%
4.31 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.97 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Oct 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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