Serie B · 2024

Sport Recife 4–0 Guarani · Serie B

4–0Historical match

Guarani

DLLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 4–0.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.071.34
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat Guarani 4–0. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – Guarani): shots 14–12, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.07–1.34, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.03 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sport Recife.

4.08 days ▲Rest daysSport Recife · Guarani4.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSport RecifeGuaraniBaseline
Rest days4.08 days4.12 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Guarani have a visible away split

moderate

Guarani's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsSport Recife 14 shots, Guarani 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsSport Recife 7 shots, Guarani 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG1.34 xGSport Recife 1.07 xG, Guarani 1.34 xG
  • Possession53%47%Sport Recife 53%, Guarani 47%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersSport Recife 6 corners, Guarani 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsSport Recife 15 fouls, Guarani 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sport Recife
0Draws
1Guarani
Guarani — Sport Recife · Serie B0–1
Guarani — Sport Recife · Serie B3–1
Sport Recife — Guarani · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Guarani in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife33 matchesGuarani33 matches
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/330.97 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.45 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/331.17 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.21 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession33/3348.8%
6 corners/match ●Corners33/335.91 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 25 Oct 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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