Serie B · 2024

América Mineiro 2–1 Sport Recife · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro won 2–1.

Shots
1010
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.461.14
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro beat Sport Recife 2–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Sport Recife): shots 10–10, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.46–1.14, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Sport Recife.

4.98 days ▲Rest daysAmérica Mineiro · Sport Recife3.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAmérica MineiroSport RecifeBaseline
Rest days4.98 days3.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

América Mineiro have a visible home split

moderate

América Mineiro's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots10 shotsAmérica Mineiro 10 shots, Sport Recife 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotAmérica Mineiro 4 shots, Sport Recife 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.46 xG1.14 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.46 xG, Sport Recife 1.14 xG
  • Possession40%60%América Mineiro 40%, Sport Recife 60%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersAmérica Mineiro 3 corners, Sport Recife 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsAmérica Mineiro 8 fouls, Sport Recife 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0América Mineiro
1Draws
0Sport Recife
Sport Recife — América Mineiro · Serie B1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro34 matchesSport Recife34 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.44 goals/match
0.91 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/340.97 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/331.3 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots34/3412.4 shots/match
4.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/343.88 shots/match
55.1%Possession34/34● 55.5%
4.88 corners/matchCorners34/34● 6.03 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls34/3414.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Oct 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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