PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Operário-PR 2–1 Sport Recife · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 2–1.

Shots
2611
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
1.951.32
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Operário-PR beat Sport Recife 2–1. Recorded in this match (Operário-PR – Sport Recife): shots 26–11, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 1.95–1.32, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots11 shotsOperário-PR 26 shots, Sport Recife 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsOperário-PR 9 shots, Sport Recife 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG1.32 xGOperário-PR 1.95 xG, Sport Recife 1.32 xG
  • Possession71%29%Operário-PR 71%, Sport Recife 29%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersOperário-PR 10 corners, Sport Recife 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsOperário-PR 17 fouls, Sport Recife 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Operário-PR
0Draws
0Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Operário-PR · Serie B1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR35 matchesSport Recife35 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.43 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351 goal/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.3 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots35/3512.3 shots/match
4.26 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.89 shots/match
54.7%Possession35/35● 54.7%
5.46 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.91 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 5 Nov 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRSport Recife
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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