PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Novorizontino 0–1 Operário-PR · Serie B

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Operário-PR won 0–1.

Shots
218
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.040.29
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Operário-PR beat Novorizontino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Operário-PR): shots 21–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.04–0.29, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Operário-PR have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.6%PossessionNovorizontino · Operário-PR● 54.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNovorizontinoOperário-PRBaseline
Possession42.6%54.6%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots8 shotsNovorizontino 21 shots, Operário-PR 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsNovorizontino 5 shots, Operário-PR 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG0.29 xGNovorizontino 2.04 xG, Operário-PR 0.29 xG
  • Possession51%49%Novorizontino 51%, Operário-PR 49%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersNovorizontino 4 corners, Operário-PR 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsNovorizontino 13 fouls, Operário-PR 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Novorizontino
1Draws
0Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Novorizontino · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino36 matchesOperário-PR36 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/360.89 goals/match
0.81 goals/matchGoals allowed36/360.83 goals/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/350.98 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots36/3613.8 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target36/364.25 shots/match
42.6%Possession36/36● 54.6%
4.69 corners/matchCorners36/36● 5.42 corners/match
16.9 fouls/matchFouls36/3612.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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