Serie B · 2024

Ituano 1–2 CRB · Serie B

Ituano

WLLWL
1–2Historical match

CRB

WLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CRB won 1–2.

Shots
1617
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
2.481.92
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Ituano 2–1. Recorded in this match (Ituano – CRB): shots 16–17, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 2.48–1.92, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ituano's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ituano's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB have a visible away split

moderate

CRB's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsItuano · CRB12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricItuanoCRBBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots17 shotsItuano 16 shots, CRB 17 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsItuano 6 shots, CRB 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.48 xG1.92 xGItuano 2.48 xG, CRB 1.92 xG
  • Possession52%48%Ituano 52%, CRB 48%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersItuano 7 corners, CRB 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls26 foulsItuano 12 fouls, CRB 26 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Ituano
2Draws
1CRB
CRB — Ituano · Serie B1–0
Ituano — CRB · Serie B0–0
CRB — Ituano · Serie B2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ituano favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ituano35 matchesCRB35 matches
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351 goal/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.23 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/331.03 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target35/353.94 shots/match
45%Possession35/35● 53.9%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners35/354.71 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls35/3516.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 5 Nov 2024, 04:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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