PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Brusque 0–1 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

Brusque

DWLLL
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 0–1.

Shots
1518
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.981.26
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Brusque 1–0. Recorded in this match (Brusque – Botafogo-SP): shots 15–18, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.98–1.26, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brusque's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brusque's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots18 shotsBrusque 15 shots, Botafogo-SP 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsBrusque 4 shots, Botafogo-SP 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.26 xGBrusque 0.98 xG, Botafogo-SP 1.26 xG
  • Possession59%41%Brusque 59%, Botafogo-SP 41%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersBrusque 4 corners, Botafogo-SP 5 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls12 foulsBrusque 23 fouls, Botafogo-SP 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Brusque
1Draws
0Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Brusque · Serie B2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Brusque favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Brusque35 matchesBotafogo-SP35 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.23 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals35/34▲ 1.03 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots35/3511.9 shots/match
3.37 shots/matchShots on target35/353.54 shots/match
47.6% ●Possession35/3547%
4.23 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.11 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBrusqueBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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