PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Mirassol 4–1 Coritiba · Serie B

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Mirassol won 4–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.660.42
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Mirassol beat Coritiba 4–1. Recorded in this match (Mirassol – Coritiba): shots 16–9, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.66–0.42, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Mirassol's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Mirassol's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.04 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Coritiba have a visible away split

moderate

Coritiba's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.8 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsMirassol 16 shots, Coritiba 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsMirassol 7 shots, Coritiba 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.66 xG0.42 xGMirassol 2.66 xG, Coritiba 0.42 xG
  • Possession48%52%Mirassol 48%, Coritiba 52%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersMirassol 5 corners, Coritiba 7 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsMirassol 6 fouls, Coritiba 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Mirassol
0Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Mirassol · Serie B0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Mirassol favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Mirassol35 matchesCoritiba35 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored35/351.11 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.06 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals34/351.22 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.77 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession35/3549.5%
4.69 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.54 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls35/3513.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Nov 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMirassolCoritiba
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required