PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Paysandu 1–0 Brusque · Serie B

1–0Historical match

Brusque

WLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paysandu won 1–0.

Shots
1915
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
0.971.01
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paysandu SC beat Brusque 1–0. Recorded in this match (Paysandu SC – Brusque): shots 19–15, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 0.97–1.01, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Brusque's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Brusque's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.61 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paysandu SC have a visible home split

moderate

Paysandu SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots15 shotsPaysandu 19 shots, Brusque 15 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsPaysandu 10 shots, Brusque 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG1.01 xGPaysandu 0.97 xG, Brusque 1.01 xG
  • Possession61%39%Paysandu 61%, Brusque 39%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersPaysandu 11 corners, Brusque 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsPaysandu 16 fouls, Brusque 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Paysandu
0Draws
1Brusque
Brusque — Paysandu · Serie B1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paysandu favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Brusque in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paysandu36 matchesBrusque36 matches
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/360.61 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.11 goals/match
1.07 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/360.96 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots36/3612 shots/match
4.28 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.33 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession36/3647.4%
6.58 corners/match ●Corners36/364.22 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls36/3613.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 12 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPaysanduBrusque
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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