PitchMath
Serie B · 2024

Vila Nova FC 2–1 Ponte Preta · Serie B

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vila Nova FC won 2–1.

Shots
1615
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.981.92
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vila Nova FC beat Ponte Preta 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vila Nova FC – Ponte Preta): shots 16–15, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.98–1.92, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.06 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots15 shotsVila Nova FC 16 shots, Ponte Preta 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsVila Nova FC 5 shots, Ponte Preta 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.92 xGVila Nova FC 0.98 xG, Ponte Preta 1.92 xG
  • Possession59%41%Vila Nova FC 59%, Ponte Preta 41%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersVila Nova FC 5 corners, Ponte Preta 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls26 foulsVila Nova FC 17 fouls, Ponte Preta 26 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vila Nova FC
1Draws
2Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Vila Nova FC · Serie B2–0
Vila Nova FC — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–1
Ponte Preta — Vila Nova FC · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vila Nova FC favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vila Nova FC36 matchesPonte Preta36 matches
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361 goal/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.36 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals36/36▲ 1.21 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots36/3611.9 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 3.86 shots/match
50.5% ●Possession36/3646.7%
4.64 corners/match ●Corners36/364.44 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls36/3615.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 12 Nov 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVila Nova FCPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie BSerie B 2024
Head-to-headVila Nova FC — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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