PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

CRB 4–2 Ponte Preta · Serie B

CRB

LLWWW
4–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CRB won 4–2.

Shots
3310
Shots on target
114
Expected goals
1.650.6
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Ponte Preta 4–2. Recorded in this match (CRB – Ponte Preta): shots 33–10, shots on target 11–4, expected goals 1.65–0.6, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB's recent record differs from the season

moderate

CRB's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB have a visible home split

weak

CRB's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23 shots/match17.9 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots33 shots10 shotsCRB 33 shots, Ponte Preta 10 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots4 shotsCRB 11 shots, Ponte Preta 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG0.6 xGCRB 1.65 xG, Ponte Preta 0.6 xG
  • Possession58%42%CRB 58%, Ponte Preta 42%
  • Corners12 corners5 cornersCRB 12 corners, Ponte Preta 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsCRB 16 fouls, Ponte Preta 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CRB
0Draws
3Ponte Preta
CRB — Ponte Preta · Serie B0–1
Ponte Preta — CRB · Serie B4–2
Ponte Preta — CRB · Serie B3–0
CRB — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB10 matchesPonte Preta10 matches
1.7 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/100.9 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/102 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/31.09 xG/match
17.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/311.7 shots/match
6.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/34.33 shots/match
54.1% ●Possession7/351.3%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/3● 6.67 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls7/314.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 May 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCRBPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headCRB — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required