PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Náutico 0–1 Goiás · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

Goiás

WDLDL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Goiás won 0–1.

Shots
2716
Shots on target
96
Expected goals
0.991.41
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás beat Náutico 1–0. Recorded in this match (Náutico – Goiás): shots 27–16, shots on target 9–6, expected goals 0.99–1.41, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots16 shotsNáutico 27 shots, Goiás 16 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots6 shotsNáutico 9 shots, Goiás 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.99 xG1.41 xGNáutico 0.99 xG, Goiás 1.41 xG
  • Possession62%38%Náutico 62%, Goiás 38%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersNáutico 6 corners, Goiás 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsNáutico 11 fouls, Goiás 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Náutico favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Goiás in 2 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Náutico15 matchesGoiás15 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.93 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.4 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals4/7▲ 1.41 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/714.6 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/74.43 shots/match
52%Possession4/7● 58.9%
3.75 corners/matchCorners4/7● 6.29 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Jun 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNáuticoGoiás
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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