PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 0–1 CRB · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

CRB

WLLDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CRB won 0–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.840.83
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Botafogo-SP 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – CRB): shots 19–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.84–0.83, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB have a visible away split

moderate

CRB's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match17.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsBotafogo-SP 19 shots, CRB 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBotafogo-SP 6 shots, CRB 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG0.83 xGBotafogo-SP 1.84 xG, CRB 0.83 xG
  • Possession60%40%Botafogo-SP 60%, CRB 40%
  • Corners11 corners6 cornersBotafogo-SP 11 corners, CRB 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls16 foulsBotafogo-SP 17 fouls, CRB 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
2Draws
2CRB
CRB — Botafogo-SP · Serie B3–2
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B2–1
Botafogo-SP — CRB · Serie B0–0
CRB — Botafogo-SP · Serie B4–1
CRB — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · CRB in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP15 matchesCRB15 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.6 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.6 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals8/101.32 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots8/10▲ 17.9 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target8/10▲ 5.8 shots/match
52%Possession8/10● 53.8%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners8/104.7 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls8/1013.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 1 Jul 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPCRB
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — CRB
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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