PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza 2–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 2–0.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.740.48
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Ponte Preta 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Ponte Preta): shots 16–11, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.74–0.48, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsFortaleza 16 shots, Ponte Preta 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsFortaleza 6 shots, Ponte Preta 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG0.48 xGFortaleza 1.74 xG, Ponte Preta 0.48 xG
  • Possession64%36%Fortaleza 64%, Ponte Preta 36%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersFortaleza 7 corners, Ponte Preta 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls20 foulsFortaleza 18 fouls, Ponte Preta 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza16 matchesPonte Preta16 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.63 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.94 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/60.7 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/610.2 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/62.83 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession8/641.3%
5.25 corners/matchCorners8/6● 5.5 corners/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls8/615.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Jul 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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