PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Fortaleza 1–1 Operário-PR · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza and Operário-PR drew 1–1.

Shots
319
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.490.85
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza and Operário-PR drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Operário-PR): shots 31–9, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.49–0.85, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots9 shotsFortaleza 31 shots, Operário-PR 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsFortaleza 7 shots, Operário-PR 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.49 xG0.85 xGFortaleza 2.49 xG, Operário-PR 0.85 xG
  • Possession60%40%Fortaleza 60%, Operário-PR 40%
  • Corners11 corners1 cornerFortaleza 11 corners, Operário-PR 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsFortaleza 11 fouls, Operário-PR 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza
1Draws
0Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Fortaleza · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza25 matchesOperário-PR25 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.24 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.28 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/131.17 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots14/1314.4 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/133.77 shots/match
49.6%Possession14/13● 52.8%
6.14 corners/match ●Corners14/135 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1314.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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