Primera A · 2026

Independiente Medellín vs Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.521.07
Expected goals
1.280.91
Shots
14.611.1
Possession
53.5%45.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Independiente Medellín. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Jaguares de Córdoba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares de Córdoba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Independiente Medellín.

1.05 days ▲Rest daysIndependiente Medellín · Jaguares de Córdoba7.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIndependiente MedellínJaguares de CórdobaBaseline
Rest days1.05 days7.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Independiente Medellín show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Independiente Medellín's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente Medellín · Jaguares de Córdoba11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependiente MedellínJaguares de CórdobaBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Medellín favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Jaguares de Córdoba in 0 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Medellín27 matchesJaguares de Córdoba27 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.07 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.74 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/230.91 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.1 shots/match
4.85 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.74 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession27/2745.3%
5.04 corners/match ●Corners27/273.96 corners/match
4.1 cards/matchCards10/44.5 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls27/2711.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Independiente Medellín
0Draws
0Jaguares de Córdoba
Jaguares de Córdoba — Independiente Medellín · Primera A1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness7 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • The recorded fixture timing is not currently settled.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The recorded fixture status indicates that timing or completion is uncertain.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Sept 2026, 01:10 UTC · analysis-v4

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