PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Fortaleza CEIF 1–4 Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

1–4Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Junior Barranquilla won 1–4.

Shots
88
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.771.91
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Junior Barranquilla beat Fortaleza CEIF 4–1. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza CEIF – Junior Barranquilla): shots 8–8, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.77–1.91, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Junior Barranquilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Junior Barranquilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsFortaleza CEIF 8 shots, Junior Barranquilla 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsFortaleza CEIF 2 shots, Junior Barranquilla 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG1.91 xGFortaleza CEIF 0.77 xG, Junior Barranquilla 1.91 xG
  • Possession41%59%Fortaleza CEIF 41%, Junior Barranquilla 59%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerFortaleza CEIF 2 corners, Junior Barranquilla 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls20 foulsFortaleza CEIF 15 fouls, Junior Barranquilla 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardFortaleza CEIF 3 cards, Junior Barranquilla 1 card
  • Passes321 passes469 passesFortaleza CEIF 321 passes, Junior Barranquilla 469 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.7%92.1%Fortaleza CEIF 85.7%, Junior Barranquilla 92.1%
  • Shots inside box2 shots5 shotsFortaleza CEIF 2 shots, Junior Barranquilla 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks1 blockFortaleza CEIF 5 blocks, Junior Barranquilla 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveFortaleza CEIF 2 saves, Junior Barranquilla 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesFortaleza CEIF 1 offside, Junior Barranquilla 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza CEIF
0Draws
1Junior Barranquilla
Junior Barranquilla — Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza CEIF favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza CEIF29 matchesJunior Barranquilla33 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored29/33▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed29/33▲ 1.27 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals25/30▲ 1.18 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots29/32▲ 13.3 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target29/32▲ 4.56 shots/match
52.5%Possession29/32● 53.1%
4.1 corners/matchCorners29/32● 4.81 corners/match
3.6 cards/matchCards10/62.67 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls29/3212.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortaleza CEIFJunior Barranquilla
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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