PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Llaneros FC 2–0 Atlético Nacional · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Llaneros FC won 2–0.

Shots
820
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.831.18
Possession
21%79%

Full time

What the match recorded

Llaneros FC beat Atlético Nacional 2–0. Recorded in this match (Llaneros FC – Atlético Nacional): shots 8–20, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.83–1.18, possession 21%–79%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Nacional.

8.17 days ▲Rest daysLlaneros FC · Atlético Nacional4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLlaneros FCAtlético NacionalBaseline
Rest days8.17 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Llaneros FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Llaneros FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Nacional show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Nacional's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLlaneros FC · Atlético Nacional16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLlaneros FCAtlético NacionalBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots20 shotsLlaneros FC 8 shots, Atlético Nacional 20 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsLlaneros FC 5 shots, Atlético Nacional 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG1.18 xGLlaneros FC 0.83 xG, Atlético Nacional 1.18 xG
  • Possession21%79%Llaneros FC 21%, Atlético Nacional 79%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersLlaneros FC 4 corners, Atlético Nacional 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsLlaneros FC 15 fouls, Atlético Nacional 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards2 cardsLlaneros FC 5 cards, Atlético Nacional 2 cards
  • Passes140 passes542 passesLlaneros FC 140 passes, Atlético Nacional 542 passes
  • Pass accuracy56.4%89.1%Llaneros FC 56.4%, Atlético Nacional 89.1%
  • Shots inside box6 shots12 shotsLlaneros FC 6 shots, Atlético Nacional 12 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks9 blocksLlaneros FC 2 blocks, Atlético Nacional 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves3 savesLlaneros FC 5 saves, Atlético Nacional 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsidesLlaneros FC 2 offsides, Atlético Nacional 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Llaneros FC
0Draws
1Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional — Llaneros FC · Primera A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Llaneros FC favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Nacional in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Llaneros FC30 matchesAtlético Nacional33 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored30/33▲ 2 goals/match
1.07 goals/matchGoals allowed30/33▲ 0.88 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals22/33▲ 1.55 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots29/33▲ 16.6 shots/match
3.52 shots/matchShots on target29/33▲ 6.33 shots/match
45.9%Possession29/33● 58.1%
4.97 corners/matchCorners29/33● 5.52 corners/match
3.71 cards/matchCards7/64 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls29/3311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Sept 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLlaneros FCAtlético Nacional
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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