PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Junior Barranquilla 2–0 Independiente Medellín · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Junior Barranquilla won 2–0.

Shots
219
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
2.240.36
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Junior Barranquilla beat Independiente Medellín 2–0. Recorded in this match (Junior Barranquilla – Independiente Medellín): shots 21–9, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 2.24–0.36, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Junior Barranquilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Junior Barranquilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Independiente Medellín show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Independiente Medellín's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsJunior Barranquilla · Independiente Medellín14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJunior BarranquillaIndependiente MedellínBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Independiente Medellín have a visible away split

moderate

Independiente Medellín's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match14.7 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots9 shotsJunior Barranquilla 21 shots, Independiente Medellín 9 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsJunior Barranquilla 9 shots, Independiente Medellín 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.24 xG0.36 xGJunior Barranquilla 2.24 xG, Independiente Medellín 0.36 xG
  • Possession65%35%Junior Barranquilla 65%, Independiente Medellín 35%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersJunior Barranquilla 2 corners, Independiente Medellín 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls10 foulsJunior Barranquilla 18 fouls, Independiente Medellín 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsJunior Barranquilla 2 cards, Independiente Medellín 3 cards
  • Passes460 passes251 passesJunior Barranquilla 460 passes, Independiente Medellín 251 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.5%74.5%Junior Barranquilla 88.5%, Independiente Medellín 74.5%
  • Shots inside box14 shots3 shotsJunior Barranquilla 14 shots, Independiente Medellín 3 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksJunior Barranquilla 4 blocks, Independiente Medellín 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves8 savesJunior Barranquilla 4 saves, Independiente Medellín 8 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideJunior Barranquilla 4 offsides, Independiente Medellín 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Junior Barranquilla
0Draws
1Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín — Junior Barranquilla · Primera A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Junior Barranquilla favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 8 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Junior Barranquilla34 matchesIndependiente Medellín29 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored34/291.48 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed34/291.28 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals31/241.27 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots33/29▲ 14.7 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target33/29▲ 4.97 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession33/2952.9%
4.73 corners/matchCorners33/29● 5.14 corners/match
2.57 cards/matchCards7/123.92 cards/match
13 fouls/matchFouls33/2911.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples34 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Sept 2026, 05:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJunior BarranquillaIndependiente Medellín
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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