PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Goiás 1–1 Grêmio · Serie A

Goiás

LLLDW
1–1Historical match

Grêmio

WWWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Goiás and Grêmio drew 1–1.

Shots
169
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.830.29
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás and Grêmio drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Grêmio): shots 16–9, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.83–0.29, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Grêmio have a visible away split

moderate

Grêmio's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots9 shotsGoiás 16 shots, Grêmio 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsGoiás 2 shots, Grêmio 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.29 xGGoiás 0.83 xG, Grêmio 0.29 xG
  • Possession45%55%Goiás 45%, Grêmio 55%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersGoiás 6 corners, Grêmio 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls11 foulsGoiás 20 fouls, Grêmio 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás17 matchesGrêmio16 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored17/16▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/16▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals17/16▲ 1.55 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots17/16▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target17/16▲ 5.44 shots/match
46.2%Possession17/16● 47.1%
5.82 corners/match ●Corners17/165.63 corners/match
17.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1611.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 31 Jul 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGoiásGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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