Serie A · 2023

Vasco da Gama 1–0 Grêmio · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Grêmio

WWLWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 1–0.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.831.55
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat Grêmio 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Grêmio): shots 11–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.83–1.55, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Grêmio have a visible away split

moderate

Grêmio's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vasco da Gama show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Vasco da Gama's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsVasco da Gama · Grêmio14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVasco da GamaGrêmioBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match16.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsVasco da Gama 11 shots, Grêmio 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsVasco da Gama 5 shots, Grêmio 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG1.55 xGVasco da Gama 1.83 xG, Grêmio 1.55 xG
  • Possession54%46%Vasco da Gama 54%, Grêmio 46%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersVasco da Gama 5 corners, Grêmio 7 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls17 foulsVasco da Gama 19 fouls, Grêmio 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama17 matchesGrêmio17 matches
0.76 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.55 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 14.3 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5.35 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession17/1747.1%
5.82 corners/match ●Corners17/175.71 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Aug 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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