PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

São Paulo 0–2 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 0–2.

Shots
198
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.881.92
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro beat São Paulo 2–0. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Atlético Mineiro): shots 19–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.88–1.92, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Mineiro have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsSão Paulo 19 shots, Atlético Mineiro 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSão Paulo 3 shots, Atlético Mineiro 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG1.92 xGSão Paulo 0.88 xG, Atlético Mineiro 1.92 xG
  • Possession68%32%São Paulo 68%, Atlético Mineiro 32%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 9 corners, Atlético Mineiro 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls17 foulsSão Paulo 16 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Paulo
2Draws
0Atlético Mineiro
São Paulo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A2–2
Atlético Mineiro — São Paulo · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo18 matchesAtlético Mineiro18 matches
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.17 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.34 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots18/1814.5 shots/match
5.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.78 shots/match
60.4% ●Possession18/1855.2%
6.44 corners/match ●Corners18/185.78 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1816.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Aug 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headSão Paulo — Atlético Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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