Serie A · 2023

Flamengo 1–1 São Paulo · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo and São Paulo drew 1–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.40.77
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo and São Paulo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – São Paulo): shots 19–8, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.4–0.77, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo have a visible home split

moderate

Flamengo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

São Paulo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

São Paulo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · São Paulo15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoSão PauloBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match15 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsFlamengo 19 shots, São Paulo 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotFlamengo 7 shots, São Paulo 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.4 xG0.77 xGFlamengo 1.4 xG, São Paulo 0.77 xG
  • Possession53%47%Flamengo 53%, São Paulo 47%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersFlamengo 8 corners, São Paulo 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsFlamengo 13 fouls, São Paulo 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Flamengo
0Draws
0São Paulo
São Paulo — Flamengo · Serie A0–2
Flamengo — São Paulo · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo19 matchesSão Paulo19 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.26 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1 goal/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.38 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots19/19▲ 15 shots/match
4.79 shots/matchShots on target19/194.84 shots/match
58.5%Possession19/19● 59.7%
5.05 corners/matchCorners19/19● 6.21 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls19/1914.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 14 Aug 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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